Sharks continue homestand with battle against Predators
Hockey Betting Lines
03/11/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Having rallied in the third period in each of its last two
victories, the San Jose Sharks wrap their season series with the Nashville Predators this evening at HP Pavilion.
Even though it is getting later in the season, the Sharks have been able to
finish strong in their last two games. Dany Heatley and Manny Malhotra scored
in the third period of a 3-2 win over Montreal last Thursday before Heatley
and Joe Pavelski lit the lamp in the final frame of Saturday's 2-1 triumph
against Columbus.
Evgeni Nabokov made 21 saves for the Sharks, who are 2-1-0 on a five-game
homestand and have won seven of their last 10 as host.
"I think the offense is going, but we're just running into some hot goalies in
this league," said Heatley, who has scored in back-to-back contests after
going five games without a tally. "Especially down the stretch here, we're
going to face hot goalies every team we play. The good things are we're
creating a lot and getting a lot of chances."
The Sharks now find themselves tied with the Chicago Blackhawks for the most
points in the Western Conference with 93, though they have a game in hand.
Both clubs trail the Washington Capitals by six points for the most in the
NHL.
While San Jose has needed to rally in its last two games, Nashville comes in
off a great defensive effort that made an early lead stand up. Ryan Suter and
Colin Wilson both scored first-period goals Tuesday in Atlanta, and Dan Ellis
made it stand up with 30 saves in a 2-1 victory.
"The first period I thought we played real well," said Nashville head coach
Barry Trotz. "I know they were playing with a lot of urgency. I thought we
played a real good road period to start."
In halting a two-game slide and winning for the fourth time in six games, the
Predators gave Trotz, who has been the team's coach since its inception in
1998, his 400th career victory. He became just the seventh coach in NHL
history to reach that mark with one team.
Nashville, which is two points up on Calgary for the seventh spot in the West,
played its second game in a row without Shea Weber. The defenseman has 12
goals and 24 assists this year.
The Predators, who won the opener of a four-game road trip, now head out West
and will also play in Anaheim and Los Angeles. Tuesday's win was just the
club's third in its last 10 games as the guest.
San Jose has won two of three versus Nashville this year -- with each game
decided by just one goal -- and eight of the last 11 in the series.
The Sharks notched a 4-3 road win when the clubs last met on February 6.
Heatley had two goals and an assist, giving him five goals and six helpers in
eight career games versus the Preds. Joe Thornton had two assists for San Jose
in that game, and he has 30 career helpers in 27 games versus Nashville.
The Predators have dropped two straight, four of five and nine of their last
11 at San Jose.
<< Senators resume western swing with stop in Calgary
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Having just picked up their first win since the Winter
Olympics break, the Ottawa Senators will now try to pick up their first
victory in Calgary since 2003 when they visit the Flames tonight at Pengrowth
Saddledome.
The
<< Howard, Magic put streak on line vs. Bulls
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dwight Howard and the surging Orlando Magic shoot for
their seventh straight win tonight in the conclusion of a three-game
homestand versus the Chicago Bulls at Amway Arena.
Orlando is riding a six-game
<< Penguins aim for fifth straight win in clash with hosting 'Canes
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Penguins will try to stay perfect since
returning from the Olympic break when they visit the Carolina Hurricanes
tonight at RBC Center.
The Penguins are 4-0 since the league came back from the Winter Games.
<< Red Wings, Wild meet for key battle in Motown
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of teams fighting for a playoff berth in the Western
Conference get together tonight at Detroit's Joe Louis Arena, where the
hometown Red Wings take on the Minnesota Wild in a key late-season showdown.
The reigning
<< Surging Flyers host Bruins in Winter Classic rematch
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Flyers will try to continue their surge in
the right direction when they host the Boston Bruins tonight at Wachovia
Center.
The Flyers are 7-1-1 in their last nine games and have greatly improved their
pl
Panthers try to keep rolling in visit to Avalanche >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Florida Panthers will try to win four straight games
for the first time this season when they visit the Colorado Avalanche tonight
at the Pepsi Center.
The Panthers come into this game six points back of a playoff spot
Nats release Guardado, Estes >>
Viera, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Washington Nationals on Thursday released
veteran left-handed pitchers Eddie Guardado and Shawn Estes.
The 39-year-old Guardado, who agreed to a minor league contract with the
Nationals on December
Hall of Famer Merlin Olsen dies >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pro football Hall of Famer Merlin Olsen
died early Thursday morning in California after a battle with cancer.
He was 69 years old.
Olsen was a two-time All-American at Utah State, playing both the
Rockies give Helton contract extension >>
Tucson, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies and first baseman Todd
Helton have agreed to terms on a two-year contract extension that will allow
him to finish his career with the franchise.
The new deal will take Helton throug
Chivas USA's Victorine retires >>
Carson, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chivas USA midfielder Sasha Victorine has
retired from Major League Soccer after 10 seasons, the club announced on
Wednesday.
During his MLS career, Victorine scored 32 goals and 41 assists i
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds.
NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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